SYRIA,
POISON GAS, MISSILE STRIKES
AND PEACE?
It has been both an
emotional and a political
roller-coaster. The
television newscasters and
the print media informed us
that a political debate was
underway as to whether or
not the armed might of this
country should be used to
punish the Syrian government
for violating the universal
condemnation against
chemical warfare that has
governed the world since the
horror of gas in the
trenches in World War I.
Pictures were released of
small children, who had been
the victims of sarin gas.
The pictures were chilling.
I enquired of a medical
expert about the effects of
sarin gas on the human body.
He shuddered even to talk
about it. His sentences were
short and declarative. “It
is deadly.” “There is no
protection.” “Suffering is
intense.” “Death is
inevitable.” For almost one
hundred years, despite
brutal wars, both worldwide
and local, with weapon
enhancements like atomic
power and cruise missiles,
the prohibition against
chemical warfare has still
been generally adhered to by
the nations of the world
until this moment. Now the
Syrian government has
breeched this taboo, in an
action widely believed to
have been ordered by its
president, Bashar al-Assad.
I did not disagree with the
official statement of facts
and yet the debate itself
struck me as deeply
irrational.
Condemning one tactic of
war as inhumane, while
condoning the war itself,
strikes me as a strange line
of reasoning. The nuclear
bombs dropped on Hiroshima
and Nagasaki in the last
days of World War II killed
about 100,000 civilians in
each city. There were,
however, no photographs
except that of a mushroom
cloud. We did not see
victims in the last stages
of life because the bomb
vaporized them. Estimates
are that the poison gas
attacks in Syria killed over
1400 hundred people. Well
over 100,000 people,
however, had been killed
previously in this cruel
civil war. It seems to me
that all of them are equally
dead. One wonders if the
means by which they died is
of any great significance to
the victims.
Nevertheless political
leaders at home and abroad
engaged this debate quite
publicly. The “war hawk”
part of the Republican
Party, led by Senators John
McCain of Arizona and
Lindsey Graham of South
Carolina quickly endorsed
the call for a military
response. Neither has ever
seen a war they did not
favor. Politics being what
they are, however, neither
could resist using their
endorsement to slam the
President for not engaging
this war much earlier and on
the side of the rebels. They
were soon joined by House
Speaker, John Boehner, but
how many Republican votes he
can control in his caucus is
always a question, not just
on this issue, but on any
other. The Libertarian wing
of Republican Party, led by
Senator Rand Paul, was
vehemently opposed to any
military intervention. They
are far too isolationist in
their foreign policy ideas
to embrace anything that
might lead to another
unpopular and expensive war.
War is also an activity of
“big government,” which they
oppose. They were joined in
this opposition by the “hate
Obama” wing of this party
which seems to infect in
varying degrees all
Republicans. These political
operatives act on the
premise that if President
Obama is for it, even if it
is an idea that was
originally a Republican
proposal, they are against
it. That is a strange way to
be an opposition party, but
that is what ideologically
driven American politics has
degenerated into being.
Those on the Democratic
side of the aisle did not do
much better. The tensions
within this party are
equally real. In the last
twenty-five years this
nation has been led into
three Middle Eastern wars:
Iraq I, Afghanistan and Iraq
II. All three resulted from
foreign policy decisions
made by Republican
presidents. None of these
wars was conclusive. All
were expensive. There is no
doubt that the unbudgeted
costs of these three wars
contributed both to the
out-of-bounds deficit we
still seek to get under
control and to the economic
collapse that occurred in
2008. There is, therefore,
little stomach among leading
Democrats for another
military action in another
Middle Eastern country. Many
in this nation have
discovered the unintended
consequences of war
decisions far too often to
be interested in going down
that road yet once again.
Middle Eastern civil wars
with deep religious
overtones, we have observed,
do not lend themselves to
military solutions anyway.
This decision to begin
retaliatory military
procedures against Syria,
however, came from a
Democratic president,
perhaps more importantly,
from a president who has
spent his first term in
office unwinding the wars in
Afghanistan and Iraq. Could
the Democrats ignore this
call from their own elected
leader? This president
surprisingly then decided to
do what few other presidents
have done. Before ordering
this strike he asked
Congress to authorize his
action. It was high risk to
ask this almost
dysfunctional body of
legislators to do much of
anything, making the
president clearly
vulnerable.
The polls showed that the
American public did not
favor a new military
engagement in the Middle
East and the Congress began
to reflect that popular
will. The Obama
administration, sensing
defeat, tried to minimize
the “punitive” response. It
would be a “surgical
strike,” they said. “It will
be designed not to destroy
the Assad regime, but only
to destroy his capacity to
use chemical weapons.” Our
purpose is only to
“degrade,” that became the
new code word, “his ability
to wage war.” Perhaps these
words helped acceptance to
grow, but that is unlikely.
These distinctions were also
non-sensical. If these
attacks were to “degrade”
Assad’s ability to wage war,
does that not lead to his
removal from power at the
hands of the rebels? Is it
not the stated public policy
of the government of the
United States to remove
Assad from power? Who then
are we fooling? Are we ready
to embrace the rebels as our
choice for the future of
Syria? Is there any evidence
that the rebels want our
endorsement? Is the devil we
know worse than the devil we
do not know? How many Muslim
terrorists, members of
Hezbollah or the Taliban
have infiltrated the ranks
of the rebel forces? The
issues are not clear.
If the president of the
United States asks Congress
to authorize a military
strike and Congress were to
refuse, is not permanent
damage inflicted on the
office of the presidency
itself? Would any future
president ever again ask for
congressional approval for a
military initiative? Would
that not open this country
up to a president who would
then seem to have the
unilateral power to begin a
war that no one wanted? So
the debate raged and good
options began to disappear.
Irrationality seemed to
reign supreme.
Then a new initiative
appeared from a surprising
source that, on the surface
at least, seemed better than
any other alternative. There
was not only a rush to
embrace that initiative, but
also a rush to claim credit
for it, despite the lack of
comfort that surrounded it.
Suddenly the only way out of
the Syrian debacle required
that we trust Russia’s
Vladimir Putin, who now
seemed to occupy center
stage. Through the op-ed
page of the New York Times
Putin was allowed to speak
to the American people. That
was more than some
politicians could manage.
Mr. Putin also ridiculed the
popular political claim to
“American Exceptionalism.”
One well known Republican
Senator told the world that
he “wanted to throw up” as
he read the Putin piece.
There were, however, no
other options on the table
around which anyone could
rally. Leaders thus held
their noses and sought to
use this offer to move the
process along. At week’s end
a tentative agreement was
reached. If it holds there
are many benefits. If it
fails there are huge
downside risks.
Syria’s chemical warfare
arsenal was to be turned
over to an international
body and destroyed. A
powerful message would thus
be sent to rogue governments
from North Korea to Somalia
that the civilized world was
watching and was ready to
act. Such an agreement would
surely encourage the new
government in Iran to seek
better relations with the
world. This agreement, if
successful, might actually
open the door to a
negotiated settlement to the
entire Syrian civil war. If
that were successful, then
perhaps the door would be
ajar for a much larger
Middle Eastern peace
proposal that would create a
permanent settlement between
Israel and the Palestinians,
a settlement than many
people regard as the key to
Middle-Eastern peace.
International relations do
turn on breakthrough
moments. Perhaps this Syrian
settlement will prove to be
one of those moments. Time
alone will tell us whether
this is so. If it is, then
we will have seen a new
alternative to both power
politics and to the “balance
of terror” that has kept the
world’s fragile peace since
the end of World War II.
That would be an
exceptional result. Perhaps
“American Exceptionalism” is
not something we are, as we
like to pretend, but
something we are called to
be, in this case
peacemakers. That would be a
new idea. Perhaps real
leadership could then emerge
both at home and abroad,
based not on political
posturing, but on solving
real problems in the service
of all the people at home
and abroad. For now let us
dare to hope.
If this initiative fails
or turns out to be little
more than the stalling
tactic that many fear it is,
then we would have to turn
to “Plan B.” The only
trouble is that there does
not appear to be a “Plan B!”
John Shelby Spong
Read the essay online
here.