<html><head></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space; ">Hi Herman, <div>Your report reminded me of an article I found about the Copenhagen conference when I was doing research for </div><div>my editing work on the courage to lead. </div><div><br></div><div>It is below: </div><div><br></div><div><br></div><div><div><div>
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<td width="466" valign="bottom" style="width:466.0pt;border:none;padding:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt"><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#666666">By Tom Brookes and Tim Nuthall </span><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana">The European Climate Foundation<span style="color:#464646"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
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</tbody></table><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><b><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646">The great German philosopher
Friedrich Nietzsche said "from chaos comes order".</span></b><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646">It is difficult to foresee the
order that may result from the chaos of the Copenhagen climate change conference
(COP15), but as the dust settles, traces of a path forward are becoming
visible.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646">The outcome - a decision to
"take note of" an accord drawn up by a core group of heads of state
on Friday evening - is far from the legally binding treaty which some had expected
and for which many hoped.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646">However, this does not change the
fact that the Copenhagen conference was a unique moment in history.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646">What Copenhagen changed:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>With 110 world leaders present
and a single issue on the agenda, there has never been a meeting like this. The
countries that brokered the text, the US, China, India, South Africa, Brazil
and the EU, also reflects a world in which the balance of power has
significantly changed in the last 20 years.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>At a fundamental level, the
conference redefined the debate between countries in terms of awareness of
climate science and support for action. There is no longer any question that
climate change is central to the political thinking of every country on the
planet.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>Public awareness has also
massively increased. The vast campaigns run around the world in the run-up to
Copenhagen by governments, NGOs and business and the media coverage of the
issue and the summit have made addressing climate change widely understood and
discussed from the pubs of rural England to the bars of Beijing.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>The other very important change
is that green growth is now the prevailing economic model of our time. The idea
that addressing climate change is bad for business was buried at Copenhagen.
Countries from both developed and developing worlds have announced low-carbon
economic plans and are moving forward.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646">What it did not change:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo2;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>That combination of political
will, economic direction and public pressure was not enough to overcome the
concerns over sovereignty that many countries have in the context of
international law. The final decision reflects the fact that many countries
only want to be answerable to themselves. They will co-operate, but not under
the threat of legal sanction.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo2;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>There is no quantified aggregate
target for emissions reduction such as the 50% by 2050 that was in early drafts
- as it stands, targets are yet to be announced and they may be at the low end
of what was promised, locking in ever greater emissions.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo2;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>The reference to transparency in
the text is significant as it will mean that for the first time actions by
countries can be assessed globally, but there is no verification of the actions
undertaken in the developing world unless they are paid for by the developed
world.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left:36.0pt;text-indent:-36.0pt;mso-text-indent-alt:
-36.0pt;line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-list:l1 level1 lfo2;
tab-stops:11.0pt 36.0pt;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;
color:#464646"><span style="mso-tab-count:1"> </span><span style="mso-tab-count:
1"> </span>Also, there is very little detail
on any of the elements it does mention.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646">The accord does refer to the target
of limiting global warming to 2C above pre-industrial temperatures, as well as
the need for quantified action by both developed and developing countries - but
it's unclear how the target will be achieved.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:18.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-size:13.0pt;font-family:Verdana;
mso-bidi-font-family:Verdana;color:#464646"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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